Will the American Naval Superiority be Defeated in what Analysts are calling World War III
Mahdi Darius Nazemroaya, a profession researcher and writer for Global Research in February, 2012 posted the research article titled, “The Geo-politics of the Strait of Hormuz; Could the U.S. Navy be defeated by Iran in the Persian Gulf?” gave affirmation to the title of this article when he wrote the following:
Mahdi Darius Nazemroaya – “U.S. naval strength, which includes the U.S. Navy and the U.S. Coast Guard, has primacy over all the other navies and maritime forces in the world. Its deep sea or oceanic capabilities are unparalleled and unmatched by any other naval power. Primacy does not mean invincibility. U.S. naval forces in the Strait of Hormuz and the Persian Gulf are nonetheless vulnerable.
Despite its might and shear strength, geography literally works against U.S. naval power in the Strait of Hormuz and the Persian Gulf. The relative narrowness of the Persian Gulf makes it like a channel, at least in a strategic and military context. Figuratively speaking, the aircraft carriers and warships of the U.S. are confined to narrow waters or are closed in within the coastal waters of the Persian Gulf. [See map below]
This is where the Iranian military’s advanced missile capabilities come into play. The Iranian missile and torpedo arsenal would make short work of U.S. naval assets in the waters of the Persian Gulf where U.S. vessels are constricted. This is why the U.S. has been busily erecting a missile shield system in the Persian Gulf amongst the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries in the last few years.
Even the small Iranian patrol boats in the Persian Gulf, which appear pitiable and insignificant against a U.S. aircraft carrier or destroyer, threaten U.S. warships. Looks can be deceiving; these Iranian patrol boats can easily launch a barrage of missiles that could significantly damage and effectively sink large U.S. warships. Iranian small patrol boats are also hardly detectable and hard to target.
Iranian forces could also attack U.S. naval capabilities merely by launching missile attacks from the Iranian mainland on the northern shores of the Persian Gulf. Even in 2008 the Washington Institute for Near East Policy acknowledged the threat from Iran’s mobile coastal missile batteries, anti-ship missiles, and missile-armed small ships. Other Iranian naval assets like aerial drones, hovercraft, mines, diver teams, and mini-submarines could also be used in asymmetrical naval warfare against the U.S. Fifth Fleet.
Even the Pentagon’s own war simulations have shown that a war in the Persian Gulf with Iran would spell disaster for the United States and its military. One key example is the Millennium Challenge 2002 (MC02) war game in the Persian Gulf, which was conducted from July 24, 2002 to August 15, 2002 and took almost two years to prepare. This mammoth drill was amongst the largest and most expensive war games ever held by the Pentagon. Millennium Challenge 2002 was held shortly after the Pentagon had decided that it would continue the momentum of the war in Afghanistan by targeting Iraq, Somalia, Sudan, Libya, Lebanon, Syria, and finishing off with the big prize of Iran in a broad military campaign to ensure U.S. primacy in the new millennium.
After Millennium Challenge 2002 was finished, the war game was “officially” presented as a simulation of a war against Iraq under the rule of President Saddam Hussein, but in actuality these war games pertained to Iran. The U.S. had already made assessments for the upcoming Anglo-American invasion of Iraq. Moreover, Iraq had no naval capabilities that would merit such large-scale use of the U.S. Navy."
A Threat Assessment in the Strait of Hormuz – a Stratfor Global Intelligence Report
"Millennium Challenge 2002 was conducted to simulate a war with Iran, which was codenamed “Red” and referred to an unknown Middle Eastern rogue enemy state in the Persian Gulf. Other than Iran, no other country could meet the perimeters and characteristics of “Red” and its military forces, from the patrol boats to the motorcycle units. The war simulation took place because Washington was planning on attacking Iran soon after invading Iraq in 2003.
The scenario in the 2002 war game started with the U.S., codenamed “Blue,” giving Iran a one-day ultimatum to surrender in the year 2007. The war game’s date of 2007 would chronologically correspond to U.S. plans to attack Iran after the Israeli attack on Lebanon in 2006, which was to extend, according to military plans, into a broader war against Syria. The war against Lebanon, however, did not go as planned and the U.S. and Israel realized that if Hezbollah could challenge them in Lebanon then an expanded war with Syria and Iran would be a disaster.
In Millennium Challenge 2002’s war scenario, Iran would react to U.S. aggression by launching a massive barrage of missiles that would overwhelm the U.S. and destroy sixteen U.S. naval vessels – an aircraft carrier, ten cruisers, and five amphibious ships. It is estimated that if this had happened in real war theater context, more than 20,000 U.S. servicemen would have been killed in the first day following the attack.
Next, Iran would send its small patrol boats – the ones that look insignificant in comparison to the U.S.S. John C. Stennis and other large U.S. warships – to overwhelm the remainder of the Pentagon’s naval forces in the Persian Gulf, which would result in the damaging and sinking of most of the U.S. Fifth Fleet and the defeat of the United States. After the U.S. defeat, the war games were started over again, but “Red” (Iran) had to operate under the assumption of handicaps and shortcomings, so that U.S. forces would be allowed to emerge victorious from the drill. This outcome of the war games obviated the fact that the U.S. would have been overwhelmed in the context of a real conventional war with Iran in the Persian Gulf.
Hence, the formidable naval power of Washington is handicapped both by geography as well as Iranian military capabilities when it comes to fighting in the Persian Gulf or even in much of the Gulf of Oman. Without open waters, like in the Indian Ocean or the Pacific Ocean, the U.S. will have to fight under significantly reduced response times and, more importantly, will not be able to fight from a stand-off (militarily safe) distance. Thus, entire tool boxes of U.S. naval defensive systems, which were designed for combat in open waters using stand-off ranges, are rendered unpractical in the Persian Gulf.”
How to Prevent the Transporting of Oil to the World Market from being taken Hostage by Iran?
Can Rerouting Oil Transport away from Iran keep Peace in the Middle East?
Looking at the logistics of routing oil to the rest of the world from the Gulf Cooperative Council (GCC) countries that include Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) to the Indian Ocean and the rest of the globe, the only other option is to route the oil pipelines to different sites on the Arabian peninsula. A secondary option would be to seek oil pipeline routes directly to the Red Sea or the Mediterranean Sea. These options also come with the understanding that all the countries are working in cooperation with each other and not enemies with each other, like Yemen filled with Al-Qaeda revolutionaries seeking to overthrow Saudi Arabia.
These options are of great interest to the State of Israel and also to the Nation of Turkey. If the Nation of Iraq were to become stable and not split into three sub-nations ruled by the Kurds to the north, the Shi’ites to the south at Basra and the Sunnis in the central part of the country at Baghdad, then these oil pipelines could be routed from the oil fields in southern Iraq could be routed like their northern fields to Turkey. With the recent belligerence of Turkey to the State of Israel, any cooperation between the two is mute at this time, but in an era of peace, mutual cooperation between all nations would benefit all of them, whether Turkey of Israel to send oil directly from the Persian Gulf to the Mediterranean Sea.
In an era of mutual cooperation, it would also be of benefit to Iran, except her global imperial aims at present is to become the Islamic Caliphate ruling the entire world. With such aims, she flies directly into the face of the United States and Europe who seek oil just for the fact to keep their engines of the economies running. The fact still exist, piping oil across land is far cheaper than routing oil in large oil tankers. Considering the risk of a tanker hitting a reef with an ensuing ecological catastrophe or a pipe rupturing with the same results, the risks in comparison come to a wash.
Looking at the map above, re-routing oil through the Abu Khabi Crude Oil Pipeline or the Hashan-Fujairah Oil Pipeline effectively routes oil away from the Strait of Hormuz choke-point from Abu-Dhabi to Fujairah on the Gulf of Oman. It allows the UAE and Oman to garner profits from the transport of oil. The shipping by tankers to the rest of the world, through the Indian Ocean still shares the pie of profits with greater equality. Such could be also the Saudi-Arabian-Muscat Oman pipeline.
The international cooperation between the west and east though has effectively been sabotaged by the imperial aims of Iran buttressed by the support of the red communist countries of Russia and China. It successfully also keeps alive the great Chess Game of who controls the world, instead of mutual cooperation between all nations in an era of peace. In case there were a catastrophic closure of the Strait of Oman by earthquakes and tectonic plate changes, it would leave the Persian Gulf isolated as an inland sea. Such inclements of nature or better known as “Acts of G-d” would still be part of a human social culture having to live in a natural world of tectonic plate changes.
Reconsidering beyond the Petroline Saudi-Oman east-west pipeline, the Nation of Saudi Arabia is also considering establishing oil pipelines to and through its neighbors along its southern borders; Oman and Yemen. The State of Israel, seeking cooperation within the entire region has been supporting an oil pipeline that would connect the Saudi oil fields with Fujairah in the U.A.E over to Muscat in Oman and finally terminating at Mukalla in Yemen.
There are other considerations to reopen the Iraqi-Saudi Pipeline (IPSA). It was this pipeline that Saddam Hussein originally built to bypass Iran and the Strait of Hormuz. Since the fall of Saddam Hussein and Baghdad, this pipeline has lain dormant because of the political instability of the region especially with the control of its southern terminal at Basra under the control of Shi’ite Islamic control, hence Iran.
Then there are the tempting options seeking to lure back the political allegiance of the Nations of Lebanon and Syria into the alliances with the West and Israel. One such pipeline that would benefit from peaceful alliances with Israel’s neighbors is the Trans-Arabian Pipeline (Tapline), presently shut down that could reactivate the oil pipeline routed to the Mediterranean Sea along the Iraqi-Saudi border up the Mediterranean Sea from Ras Tannunah on the Persian Gulf.
While all these options are on the table, the United States’ new coalition is seeking to topple the Ahmadinejad government in Tehran but to do so, it will have to take down Lebanon and Syria and effectively dismantling Hizbullah in Lebanon, Bashar Assad’s Baath party and government in Syria, quarantining Hamas in Gaza while in route effectively isolating Iran before the West’s face-off with Iran. Yet, Iran is also not sitting still, for her recent Velayat-90 naval drill was conducted on three theatres of war drills; the entrance to the Red Sea on the other side of the Sinai in the Gulf of Aden outside the territorial waters of Yemen, in the Gulf of Oman just east of the Strait of Hormuz along the eastern coastline of Oman and the United Arab Emirates. Their strategic goal effectively demonstrated that Iran was preparing to attack all oil terminals along the Gulf of Oman, the Arabian Sea, and the Red Sea.
Yet, there is also little consolation that wherever the oil terminus may be located, the oil fields themselves plus the capitals of all the nations represented by the Gulf Cooperative Council (GCC) are within binocular vision from the escarpments overlooking the Strait of Hormuz from Iran. With a preemptive strike using Iran’s ground, naval, air power and amphibious forces heralded by missile and aerial attacks could in essence block the Strait of Hormuz by sinking a few freighters, an aircraft carrier and several destroyers and the oil lifeline to the rest of the world would be effectively severed for an unknown period of time while the oil commodity markets would hit the stratosphere.
Iran’s new Fatwa and how it’s Pre-emptive Defensive Jihad Doctrine threatens the Annihilation of all the Jews in the State of Israel
Geography is against the Pentagon: U.S. Naval Strength has limits in the Persian Gulf
We have now entered a new era of human history. Not since the beginnings of the Cold War of the United States with Russia has the international press been discussing the use of nuclear armament with such earnestness. From all appearances the days of conventional warfare are over!
With the recent admission from DEBKAfiles from Israel’s Military Intelligence Chief, Maj. Gen. Aviv Kochavi in the article titled, “Israel: Iran's nuclear arms program is complete, its missiles can reach US” is now affectively challenging the United States’ willingness to guard the safety of the entire world, even Israel:
DEBKAfiles – “Iran has completed the development of a nuclear weapon and awaits nothing more than a sign from Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei to start assembling its first nuclear bomb… With 100 kilograms of uranium enriched to 20 percent grade and another 4 tons of uranium enriched to 3.5 percent already in stock, Iran would need another two years to make four nuclear bombs."
Kochavi stressed that the pathway of Iran developing the nuclear bomb has only been met by neglect by the western powers to counter this nuclear proliferation by an Islamic nation intent on only one purpose; the destruction first of Israel, then the United States, and finally Rome and Northern Europe. These are the major homelands of the Lost Ten Tribes of Israel, plus the home of the origins of Roman Christianity and the Roman Catholic Church. With the destruction of these three international and political forces; America, Rome and Europe, whether spiritual, temporal or both, in their minds the pathway to make a global jihad for a World Caliphate of Islam will be assured.
As Kochavi pointed out with great clarity on February 2, 2012, as posted on DEBKAfiles:
- “By the end of 2012 or early 2013 Iran may have a single nuclear bomb, but by 2015 the figure would jump to four or five.”
- “The big blast at the Iranian missile base near Tehran last November blew up a new missile system with a range of 10,000 kilometers, capable of targeting the United States.”
- “The military intelligence chief painted a grim picture of 200,000 rockets and missiles of assorted types pointing at Israel.”
- “There is no longer any point on the Israeli map that is outside the range of enemy missiles.”
- “Iran, Syria, Hizballah and Hamas are dispersing their missiles and rockets to sites deep inland and integrated in urban environments to minimize their vulnerability to IDF attack. He warned ‘the enemy’ had prepared increasing numbers of its missiles for ‘depth strikes against Israeli population centers, their warheads more lethal than ever.’”
- “‘Every tenth residential house in Lebanon,’ he said, ‘harbors a missile arsenal or launching position. Their sheer volume has reached a strategic dimension with which Israel will have to deal.’”
- “US National Intelligence Estimate of 2007 accepted by the Bush administration was wrong. Its main finding was that Iran had discontinued its military nuclear program in 2003. For five years, Western intelligence officials have given out misleading estimates to save their governments having to pursue direct action for preempting a ‘Nuclear Iran.’”
Then Kochavi proposed the rhetorical questions that has led the world to this debacle; to be facing nuclear annihilation in the Middle East, plus Europe and America. When he claims that this is a realistic and affirmative option, he then suggests that the United States has abrogated its position as the “policeman and security agent” of the world.
- “One school of thought claimed that Iran would not build a bomb until it had the resources to create an arsenal; another, that Tehran lacked the technology for weaponizing enriched uranium. Does the latest evaluation that the manufacture of a bomb awaits the decision of one man, the Iranian Supreme Ruler, fall into the same category as the others? Or is it another gambit to fend off a military strike against Iran for five more years?”
- “How does the US and Israel know for sure that Khamenei has not given the order and that Iranian teams are not already busy assembling a bomb in some bunker?”
- “US Defense Secretary Leon Panetta has maintained more than once that America has the resources for finding out about a decision by the Supreme Leader, but why are no American or Israeli intelligence officers willing to endorse this with certainty?
- It should be remembered, debkafile's military and intelligence sources note, that when Western intelligence announced the discovery of the Fordo underground facility near Qom in mid-2009, construction had begun undiscovered at least eighteen months earlier.
Try as hard as you can, the G-d of Israel has created the perfect no-win solution for peace in the world. It will take an anti-Messiah to put on the finishing touches, but the final match for the “Chess Game for World Dominion” is about to begin. Europe, America, Russia and China have been playing out the “Cold War Games” since World War II. The final match is now here.
Iran’s Nuclear “Final Solution” against the Jews in Israel
It took Alireza Forghani, a former Iranian Revolutionary Guard's Basij militia member and an analyst and a strategy specialist in Khamenei’s camp put this epic war into the Iranian perspective when he wrote the blog “Iran to Destroy Israel in less than Nine Minutes” on Shabbat, February 4, 2012 urging Tehran to exploit the Western governments inaction and laid out the nuclear strategy to ‘wipe out Israel’.
Alireza Forghani – “Forghani lays out the religious justifications for the attack and presents strategies for an offensive that would target key Israeli sites using land-to-land missiles.
The first step in the strategy, Forghani suggested, should be to launch ballistic Sijil missiles on Tel Aviv, Jerusalem and Haifa, as well as power stations and other energy sources, sewage facilities, airports, nuclear plants, media hubs and transportation infrastructure. In the second step, Shahab 3 and Ghader missiles should target the rest of the country's population centers. Total annihilation, he asserts, could be achieved within nine minutes."
This blog was actually posted, and not by coincidence, on the same day that the Iranian Revolution Guard started their naval games in the Gulf of Oman as they were showing off their latest military maneuvers in creating a swarm affect around large enemy battleships shooting to capsize and block the vital Strait in which almost a half of all oil in the world is transported through.
According to the Islamic rulings recently formulated by the Iranian Revolutionary leader Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, it was justified according to Islamic law to totally destroy the Jewish people and the State of Israel in a Muslim jihad for they are an enemy who attacks an Islamic nation. So what nation has the State of Israel attacked? So Forghani justified his observations by this statement;
Forghani – “Since Israel has attacked Palestine and occupied this part of the Islamic Entity, defending the oppressed Palestinian Muslims is compulsory.”
This message did not even get dry on the internet news when Alireza Forghani and his Islamic conservative website Alef, with noted close ties with Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, stated it was imperative to remove “this corrupting material.” He claimed that it was a “jurisprudential justification” to kill all the Jews and annihilate Israel, and that the Islamic government of Iran must take the helm.”
In discussing the new fatwa issued by the Ayatollah Khamenei, Forghani stated that it was the Islamic duty of jihad written in the Quran called the “primary jihad will only happen when the Hidden Imam, the Shi’ites 12th and Hidden Imam called the Mahdi returns and ushers in Armageddon. Since the continued absence of the Hidden Imam, a “defensive jihad” under the authorization of Vali Faghih must take place whenever Islam is threatened by outside powers, for it is the duty of Muslims to defend Islam and kill all enemies of Islam. According to Forghani, the 1st Imam of the Shi’ites, Alī ibn Abī Ṭālib the cousin and son-in-law of the Islamic Prophet Muhammad stated:
Alī ibn Abī Ṭālib – “Waging war against the enemies with whom war is inevitable and there is a strong possibility that in near future they will attack Muslims is a must and the duty of Muslims.” Quoting the Quran (Albaghara 2:191-193): “And slay them wherever ye find them, and drive them out of the places whence they drove you out, for persecution [of Muslims] is worse than slaughter [of non-believers] … and fight them until persecution is no more, and religion is for Allah.”
In the absence of the hidden Imam, Forghani says, “defensive jihad” could certainly take place when Islam is threatened, and Muslims must defend Islam and kill their enemies. To justify such action, Alef quotes the Shiites’ first imam, Ali, who stated “Waging war against the enemies with whom war is inevitable and there is a strong possibility that in near future they will attack Muslims is a must and the duty of Muslims.”
In this regard, Ayatollah Khamenei has issued a fatwa in which he has even authorized carrying out primary jihad in the age of the absence of the Hidden imam under the authorization of Vali Faghih admitting now that Iran has ICBM that are capable of delivering a fatal blow to Israel that it is the duty of all Muslims to participate in this defensive jihad that will wipe out Jewish assets and all Jewish people worldwide.
Now that Alireza Forghani’s article is being promoted on all Iranian state-owned stations and the Fars News Agency run by the Revolutionary Guard showing that Khamenei endorses this Islamic doctrine. This is highlighted by the fact that on February 5, 2012, the Ayatollah Khamenei announced that Iran would support any nation that attacked the “cancerous tumor” of Israel. Only in the last few weeks have the Iranian regime been promoting their mastery of intercontinental ballistic warfare. This included, according to the Commander of the Revolutionary Guards, Brig. Gen. Seyyed Mehdi Farahi who announced in August 2011 that the Safir Missile capable of transporting a satellite into space, a feat not expected by American analysts until 2015. Take the same missile and launch is parallel to earth’s orbit and now it becomes Intercontinental ballistic missile and capable of hitting any target worldwide.
Forghani enhanced now his first blog by the new fatwa and pre-emptive doctrine issued by Ayatollah Khamenei’s fatwa that according to World Net Daily in the blog titled, “Iran warns World of Coming Great Event” on February 2, 2012 that now with Israel’s stated intent to target with America’s permission, Iran will target several Ground Zero points in the Land of Israel that must be destroyed with the annihilation of all its people. According to Forghani, the last census released by the Israel Central Bureau of Statistics showed that the State of Israel had a total population of 7.5 million citizens of which a majority of the population of 5.7 million is Jewish.
When this offensive doctrine is carried out, the top three population centers, Tel Aviv, Jerusalem and Haifa, where over 60 percent of the Jewish population will be targeted with its Shahab 3 ballistic missiles. Then according to Forghani, Iran’s Sejil two-stage missile which can take a trajectory and speed making it impossible to intercept, must be used to target Israel strategic nuclear facilities; Rafael Nuclear Plant, the main Israeli nuclear power plant in Israel, plus the Eilun nuclear reactor and the Nebrin reactor. Yet most critical would be to destroy the Dimona Nuclear Research Center in the Negev that is suspected of producing 90% of all enriched uranium for Israel’s purported nuclear weapon arsenal.
Yet, not only will the Iranian target strategic centers such as airports and the Sedot Mikkha Air Base where the Jericho ballistic missiles are located and the Tel Nof Airbase where jets are equipped with nuclear weapons, then secondary target will include power plants, sewage treatment centers, plus transportation and communication infrastructures, the Shahab 3 and the Ghadr missiles will then be used to target all urban civilian centers until all Israeli citizens will be wiped out. How will this be accomplished, according to Forghani, the Iranian radical regime today possesses over 1,000 ballistic missiles, are capable of achieving ICBM delivery systems, yet only admits that Iran has enough enriched uranium to create six nuclear bombs.
Yet, the G-d of Israel has forewarned of this day hundreds of years ago, and the epic ending of the truly one terrorist nation on Planet Earth, will not meet Iran’s expectations.
************
You Might Want to Read; “America’s Iranian-Syrian Two-War Strategy and Israel”
Part Two – “Can America’s Naval Supremacy be Defeated by Iran in the Persian Gulf?”
Part Three – “The Fate of Iran was given to the Rabbinic Sages Centuries Ago”
Awaken, O House of Israel, your days are numbered for the Yemot HaMaschiah (The Days of the Messiah) are now upon us. HaShem, the G-d of Israel wants you to be prepared for your reclamation, redemption and restoration back into oneness and fellowship with the Jews of the House of Judah. It’s time to prepare for your return home to your aliyah (return to Israel), for the “disputed lands of Shomron in Samaria” include your tribal homelands.
Let us not forget that the G-d of Israel is purposefully bringing the forces of evil for the whole world to behold and to understand its catastrophic affect upon all mankind. Only then will we be able to choose goodness over evil. If you are interested in connecting to your Lost Israelite roots, Destination Yisra’el is inviting you to support the Kol Ha Tor Vision,
If the G-d of Israel is touching your heart to support directly the Pioneering Settlers of Shomron and Judea preserving these lands for the Return of the Lost Tribes of the House of Israel, we invite you to Click on the “Donate to Kol Ha Tor” link in support of the joint Orthodox Jewish and 10-Triber Mission to bring awareness of the imminent fulfillment of the Biblical Prophecies regarding the Redemption of all Israel (12 Tribes Re-conciled and Re-United). This supernal Event of all Times will entail Establishing the Shomron (the Ancient Bible Heartland of the Patriarchs) and the Judean Wilderness as part of the Land of Israel, and preparing the “Land” for the Return of the Lost Tribes of the House of Israel and then the Redemption of All Israel.
For inquiries about Kol Ha Tor Vision for the Lost Tribes of Israel, Visit – “Shomron Lives!”, a Spiritual Retreat and Guest House in Samaria, that hosts Shomron (Samaria) Tours to reacquaint the Returning Lost Tribers of the House of Israel.